{"id":36115,"date":"2020-08-18T10:10:51","date_gmt":"2020-08-18T10:10:51","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/2145.16"},"modified":"2020-08-18T10:10:51","modified_gmt":"2020-08-18T10:10:51","slug":"__trashed-44","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/blog\/lista\/__trashed-44","title":{"rendered":"Distribuci\u00f3n espacial de la abstenci\u00f3n electoral (2010-2018)"},"content":{"rendered":"

La revisi\u00f3n de los datos de abstenci\u00f3n electoral en las \u00faltimas tres elecciones presidenciales celebradas en Colomba (1\u00b0 y 2\u00b0 turno) permiten apreciar una visible homogeneidad de las aglomeraciones geogr\u00e1ficas de alta y baja participaci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

Esto no significa que los porcentajes de participaci\u00f3n sean necesariamente parejos en los seis casos. Naturalmente var\u00edan, no solo solo desde un punto de vista inter, sino tambi\u00e9n, intra-ciclo.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, las \u00e1reas caracterizadas por la presencia de cl\u00fasters (relativos) de alta y baja abstenci\u00f3n tienden a ser persistentes.<\/p>\n

En este sentido las manchas azules (cold spots<\/em>), son municipios caracterizados por altos niveles de participaci\u00f3n electoral rodeados por otros que comparten esta misma particularidad. Mientras que las rojas (hot spot<\/em>) representan el escenario inverso (municipios con alta abstenci\u00f3n, rodeados por otros similares). Las \u00e1reas de color blanco son, por el contrario, zonas caracterizadas por una distribuci\u00f3n especialmente aleatoria de altos y bajos niveles de abstenci\u00f3n.<\/p>\n

De all\u00ed surge la siguiente pregunta \u00bfeste patr\u00f3n se repite en otro tipo de elecciones? No, de hecho, cambia significativamente (ver aqu\u00ed<\/a>) a la hora de revisar lo que sucede en las legislativas (homog\u00e9neas entre s\u00ed) y las locales y departamentales (tambi\u00e9n homog\u00e9neas entre s\u00ed).<\/p>\n

Estos \u00faltimos dos casos no solo muestran visibles variaciones en los niveles de participaci\u00f3n sino tambi\u00e9n en el dibujo que caracteriza a las aglomeraciones.<\/p>\n

\u00bfPor qu\u00e9 pasa esto? Algunas explicaciones pueden ser encontradas aqu\u00ed<\/a>.<\/p>\n

\"\" \"\" \"\"<\/p>\n

Datos: % de bstenci\u00f3n.\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

Unidad de an\u00e1lisis: Municipios.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Metodolog\u00eda: I de Moran local (Local Indicators of Spatial Association<\/em>).<\/strong><\/p>\n

Fuente:\u00a0Registradur\u00eda nacional del Estado Civil (preconteo).<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

La revisi\u00f3n de los datos de abstenci\u00f3n electoral en las \u00faltimas tres elecciones presidenciales celebradas en Colomba (1\u00b0 y 2\u00b0 […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[32],"tags":[52881,41480,22563,53217],"class_list":["post-36115","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-colombia","tag-abstencion","tag-colombia","tag-elecciones","tag-participacion"],"aioseo_notices":[],"rttpg_featured_image_url":null,"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"Juan Pablo Milanese","author_link":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/blog\/lista\/author\/324429"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Colombia<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"La revisi\u00f3n de los datos de abstenci\u00f3n electoral en las \u00faltimas tres elecciones presidenciales celebradas en Colomba (1\u00b0 y 2\u00b0 […]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36115"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36115"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36115\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36115"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36115"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36115"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}