{"id":36314,"date":"2020-09-07T15:00:37","date_gmt":"2020-09-07T15:00:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/2145.56"},"modified":"2020-09-07T15:00:37","modified_gmt":"2020-09-07T15:00:37","slug":"cuales-son-los-partidos-mas-congruentes-del-sistema-2","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/blog\/lista\/cuales-son-los-partidos-mas-congruentes-del-sistema-2","title":{"rendered":"Cu\u00e1les son los partidos m\u00e1s congruentes del sistema?"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u00bfCu\u00e1les son los partidos m\u00e1s congruentes del sistema? Aqu\u00ed<\/a> el paper<\/p>\n

Para empezar, es importante definir \u00bfqu\u00e9 se entiende por congruencia?<\/p>\n

En este caso se la entender\u00e1 como la integraci\u00f3n vertical de los partidos (Gibson y Su\u00e1rez-Cao, 2010), comprendi\u00e9ndola como la homogeneidad del apoyo (medido en porcentaje de votos) obtenido por cada uno de ellos en, por lo menos, dos niveles (en este caso municipal y departamental) de cada unidad de an\u00e1lisis (municipios).<\/p>\n

Revisando los resultados de las elecciones locales y departamentales de 2019 los resultados son los siguientes:<\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
Partido<\/strong><\/td>\nCoeficiente \u03b2<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CJL<\/td>\n\n

0,855102<\/p>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

AV<\/td>\n0,717830<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PCC<\/td>\n0,705516<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CR<\/td>\n0,651757<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PLC<\/td>\n0,648933<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CD<\/td>\n0,563429<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PSUN<\/td>\n0,554608<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MAIS<\/td>\n0,434973<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MIRA<\/td>\n0,381223<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
FARC<\/td>\n0,269636<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ASI<\/td>\n0,256866<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
CH-UP<\/td>\n0,192916<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
ADA<\/td>\n0,181622<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
COLREN<\/td>\n0,088537<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PDA<\/td>\n0,079424<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
AICO<\/td>\n0,07223<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Total sistema<\/strong><\/td>\n0,4819<\/strong><\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

Se calcula la congruencia a trav\u00e9s de un modelo de estimaci\u00f3n de m\u00ednimo cuadrados ordinarios (% de votos en cada municipio variable independiente, % en asambleas dependiente). Dentro de este marco, se interpretar\u00e1 como \u201ccongruencia perfecta\u201d valores equivalentes a 1 en los coeficientes \u03b2, utiliz\u00e1ndose como umbral de alto nivel de congruencia 0.8 y 1.2.<\/p>\n

El \u00fanico caso caracterizado por alto niveles de congruencia es el de Colombia Justa y Libres, cuyo electrodo se ha mostrado notablemente consistente desde el punto de vista de su comportamiento. Niveles razonablemente altos pueden ser apreciados tambi\u00e9n en Alianza Verde y el Partido Conservador.<\/p>\n

Sin embargo, los valores apenas se\u00f1alados son el resultado de promedios. En este sentido la realizaci\u00f3n de estimaciones geogr\u00e1ficamente ponderadas permite calcular un coeficiente de regresi\u00f3n para cada unidad de an\u00e1lisis. De este modo, puede apreciarse si los valores tienden a concentrarse en torno al 1 o, por el contrario, est\u00e1n altamente dispersos.<\/p>\n

En este sentido, como puede apreciarse en los gr\u00e1ficos de densidad, cuanto m\u00e1s alta sea la concentraci\u00f3n de valores en torno al 1, mayor ser\u00e1 la homogeneidad desde el punto de vista de la congruencia.<\/p>\n

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<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u00bfCu\u00e1les son los partidos m\u00e1s congruentes del sistema? Aqu\u00ed el paper Para empezar, es importante definir \u00bfqu\u00e9 se entiende por […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":17,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[32,22563,53218,53219],"tags":[],"class_list":{"0":"post-36314","1":"post","2":"type-post","3":"status-publish","4":"format-standard","5":"hentry","6":"category-colombia","7":"category-elecciones","9":"category-participacion"},"aioseo_notices":[],"rttpg_featured_image_url":null,"rttpg_author":{"display_name":"Juan Pablo Milanese","author_link":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/blog\/lista\/author\/324429"},"rttpg_comment":0,"rttpg_category":"Colombia<\/a> elecciones<\/a> Elecciones<\/a> Participaci\u00f3n<\/a>","rttpg_excerpt":"\u00bfCu\u00e1les son los partidos m\u00e1s congruentes del sistema? Aqu\u00ed el paper Para empezar, es importante definir \u00bfqu\u00e9 se entiende por […]","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36314"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/17"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=36314"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/36314\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=36314"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=36314"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.icesi.edu.co\/blogs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=36314"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}