Metodología para el análisis estratégico cuantitativo en proyectos a partir del análisis de riesgos
Resumen
Este artículo propone una metodología para la construcción de una matriz de análisis de debilidades, oportunidades, fortalezas y amenazas en la formulación y evaluación de proyectos, con base en estudios cuantitativos de riesgo. Se parte de una revisión de literatura para obtener una descripción del análisis de debilidades, oportunidades, fortalezas y amenazas y sus usos, así como las herramientas en los estudios de riesgos de los proyectos. Luego se muestra un marco metodológico para la construcción de análisis de debilidades, oportunidades, fortalezas y amenazas cuantitativos y los apartados necesarios para llevar a cabo el análisis, el cual se valida con un caso de aplicación. Se concluye que, mediante análisis cuantitativos de riesgos en los proyectos, se puede reducir la subjetividad en la construcción de la matriz estratégica de debilidades, oportunidades, fortalezas y amenazas.
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